All publications and events for approach or method Prospective scenarios

Past event
Thesis presentation
March 2nd 2026

Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve

Transition pathways

PhD Defence Anton Riera

This PhD reflects on the concept of scale in the context of food system transitions. It gathers a series of research outputs on the livestock transition in Belgium, researched at different scales and following the different steps of a transition cycle.

Production systems
Protein cropsEggs sectorDairy sectorBeef meat sectorPig meat sectorPoultry meat sectorMeadows and pasture
Agricultural land managementLand use planningProtein transitionClimate changeSustainability indicators
Prospective scenariosEnvironmental footprintPolicy recommendationsParticipatory approach
FlandersWalloniaBelgium

Speakers

Anton Riera

Publication of March 2nd 2026
PhD thesis
Transition pathways

Unpacking food system transitions across multiple scales. The Belgian livestock sector

This PhD reflects on the concept of scale in the context of food system transitions. It gathers a series of research outputs on the livestock transition in Belgium, researched at different scales and following the different steps of a transition cycle.

Protein cropsEggs sectorDairy sectorBeef meat sectorPig meat sectorPoultry meat sectorMeadows and pasture
Protein transitionClimate changeBiodiversitySustainability indicators
Prospective scenariosEnvironmental footprintSupply balance
FlandersWalloniaBelgium

Authors

Anton Riera

Publication of February 10th 2026
Research article
Transition pathways

Narratives, trade-offs and scenarios to explore the livestock transition in Belgium

Scientific paper exploring different scenarios for the livestock transition in Belgium. The paper illustrates dominant narratives, reveals sustainability trade-offs and reflects on the usefulness of foresight approaches.

Protein cropsEggs sectorDairy sectorBeef meat sectorPig meat sectorPoultry meat sectorMeadows and pasture
Protein transitionClimate changeBiodiversitySustainability indicatorsPlanetary limitsAnimal feed
Prospective scenariosEnvironmental footprint
Belgium

Authors

Anton Riera Noé Vandevoorde Antoine Squilbin Quentin Vandersteen Philippe Baret

Publication of February 25th 2026
Report
Transition pathways

Natural carbon sinks in Belgium by 2050 and beyond: Definition of scenarios and assessment of potential

The goal of the project was to explore the potential for natural carbon capture in Belgium by 2050, through the combination of i) land use change scenarios and ii) changes in land use management practices. The Sytra team focused particularly on agricultural land.

Climate changeBiodiversity
Prospective scenarios
Belgium

Authors

Manon Ferdinand Caroline Amrom Anton Riera Philippe Baret VITO: Karen Gabriels, Lien Poelmans, Dieter Cuypers ; Gembloux Agro-Bio Tech: Thalès de Haulleville, Jean-François Bastin

Past event
Workshop
May 26th 2025

Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve

Transition pathways

PWRP 3: What transition scenarios could reduce pesticide use and risks in Wallonia?

Open workshop discussion on transition scenarios to guide the reduction of pesticide use and associated risks in Walloon agricultural regions and sectors.

Production systems
Vegetable sectorFruit sectorCereals sectorProtein cropsPotato sectorBeetroot sectorMeadows and pasture
Land use planningPesticidesInputsOrganic farming
Prospective scenariosParticipatory approach
Wallonia

Speakers

Antoine Squilbin Anton Riera Céline Chevalier Philippe Baret

Publication of February 2nd 2026
Presentation
Transition pathways

Presentations at Natagriwal’s Scientific Support Day

Three members of SYTRA spoke at Natagriwal's annual scientific exchange and support day for advisors, dedicated to the issue of reducing pesticide use and associated risks.

Production systems
Vegetable sectorFruit sectorCereals sectorProtein cropsPotato sectorBeetroot sectorMeadows and pasture
agri-environmentLand use planningRotationsPesticidesInputsCrop diversificationOrganic farming
LeversProspective scenarios
Wallonia

Authors

Philippe Baret Noé Vandevoorde Antoine Squilbin Emilie Cordier (Natagriwal)

Publication of September 11th 2025
Report
Transition pathways

What transition pathways should be followed to reduce pesticide use and risks in Wallonia by 2035?

This work carried out by Sytra aims to provide the Walloon Region with a new forward-looking and strategic overview to facilitate discussions on the future of the Walloon agricultural sector and potential transition paths towards 2035.

Production systems
Vegetable sectorFruit sectorCereals sectorProtein cropsPotato sectorBeetroot sectorMeadows and pasture
PesticidesInputsSustainability indicatorsCrop diversificationOrganic farming
Prospective scenariosParticipatory approach
Wallonia

Authors

Antoine Squilbin Anton Riera Noé Vandevoorde Manon Ferdinand Philippe Baret

Past event
Conference
March 10th 2020

Ottignies-Louvain-la-Neuve

Production systems

How can current farming systems contribute to provide sustainable and local food?

How to measure the social and environmental footprint of our food habits? Which are the land use opportunities for more sustainable and local food systems? How can vegetable production at the regional level meet these challenges?

Vegetable sector
Prospective scenariosEnvironmental footprint

Speakers

Philippe Baret Anton Riera Christophe Alliot, Sylvain Ly

Publication of February 28th 2025
Research article
Transition pathways

Which types of quantitative foresight scenarios to frame the future of food systems? A review

Paper published in Agricultural Systems on the use of quantitative foresight scenarios to help design the future of food systems. Different types of scenarios are identified and methodological considerations are discussed.

Literature reviewProspective scenarios

Authors

Anton Riera Océane Duluins Clémentine Antier Philippe Baret

Publication of October 22nd 2024
Report
Transition pathways

Toward a resilient food supply of Brussels Capital region: possible scenarios based on a barriers analysis and an explorative prospective approach

Brussels Food 2050 (BruFo2050), is an explorative prospective research project that gathers two teams: Sytra from UCLouvain and Sfere, from KULeuven. This three-years long project aims at diving into the analysis and understanding of the Brussels food supply system.

Food value chains
Vegetable sectorCereals sectorPotato sectorDairy sectorBeef meat sector
Sustainability indicators
Prospective scenariosLock-inPolicy recommendationsParticipatory approach
Belgium

Authors

Caroline Amrom Hannelore Deschaepmeester

Publication of May 8th 2024
Report
Transition pathways

Scenarios and case studies for a sustainable transition of the Belgian food system

Study for WWF Belgium proposing two scenarios for the future of the Belgian food system

Vegetable sectorFruit sectorCereals sectorProtein cropsPotato sectorBeetroot sectorEggs sectorDairy sectorBeef meat sectorPig meat sectorPoultry meat sectorMeadows and pasture
Protein transitionSustainability indicatorsCrop diversificationOrganic farming
Prospective scenarios
Belgium

Authors

Quentin Vandersteen Anton Riera Noé Vandevoorde Philippe Baret Louis Tessier

Publication of January 1st 2021
Communication
Production systems

The sugarbeet sector in the Walloon Region: Current situation and scenarios for 2050

What are the main production models for sugar beet in Wallonia today? How is the sector organised? What developments can be envisaged, and with what consequences in terms of production and pesticide use?

Beetroot sector
PesticidesInputs
LeversProspective scenariosLock-inParticipatory approach
WalloniaBelgium

Authors

Anne-Maud Courtois Anton Riera Philippe Baret

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